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the if stuff here on on "worldwide exchange." >> but there are two of us. you're back. >> i'm back here. eyes are getting better. >> glasses are gone. >>> so on today's program, we'll bring you live updates from beijing as the chinese economy shows signs of improve. >>> and we'll head out to washington for a view on how the handover of power in china will impact relations in the u.s. >> we're in london to talk about shipping trends. >>> plus what will obama do about the looming fiscal cliff? we'll have plenty of analysis from commentators. >> and we'll hear first from the cfo of aliance. but first day two data suggested growth is picking up and inflation is moderating meaning beijing may have more scope to ease if necessary. ppi industrial output and retail sales all came in better than forecast. eunice joins us from beijing. i'd hate to suggest this is quite good timing for this data. very convenient. >> what are you suggesting? a lot of people are saying that the numbers are showing the economy is bottoming out and a lot of people do use the numbers as a guideline at least. they're saying t
speeches, fund-raisers, they're all over. now comes down to u.s. voters. more than 120 million are expected to show up at the polls. >> and european investors are holding off on big moves. equities just edging higher led by technology stocks. >> and adecco sees hiring picking up in america. >>> we're finally here, election day in the united states. before that, we have the latest pmis out of the eurozone. economy declined steepening going into the fourth quarter. the final services pmi lower than the flash. it was 46.2 was the flash. lowest since july 2009. that means the composite final pmi 45.7. the flash 45.8. french services pmi weakened, also. 46.2. so both those major parts of the eurozone economy -- >> and remember, this is a leading indicator. if you see europe doing any better next year, you have to start seeing at least this indicator bottoming. >> dollar just dipped down to its lowest point of the session on the back of that. and of course we've got in spain they're talking about the groth being much weaker than the government's forecast. >> even though their service might have b
rolls to re-election and a second term, defeating mitt romney despite a weak u.s. economy and persistently high unemployment. >> investors cheer obama's re-election. equities trading high led by autos and health care stocks. >> democrats keep their hold of the senate and republicans keep their control of the house. >> there will be a tough challenge facing the looming fiscal cliff. >>> a very good morning to you. it's been a long night, but we have a result. >> yes, we do. let's get right it to. president barack obama capturing a second term in the white house despite the struggling u.s. economy. he did manage to win many of the same states he took in 2008 and nearly all the critical swing states, including ohio, virginia, and colorado. speaking to supporters in chicago just a few hours ago, the president congratulated his republican challenger on the spirited race and said there's plenty of work ahead to fix the country's fiscal problems. >> i believe we can seize this future together, because we are not as divided as our politics suggest. we're not as cynical as the pund
's shift to democracy in a first ever trip by a serving u.s. president to the country. but he cautions that his trip should not be seen as an endorsement of the country's sgoechlt. and oil futures hitting a two week high as international pressure mounts for a cease-fire in gaza. u.n. secretary general ban ki-moon is heading to cairo for emergency negotiations. good morning, welcome to the program packed full of fantastic guests to give you you updates and analysis on where we are in trade. if europe, higher by 0.8%. coming off the 3 1/2 month low that we saw in the close on friday, helped along by optimism on the negotiations to avoid a fiscal cliff state side. we saw quite a rally in the u.s. on friday's close and that is feeding through to europe here this morning. ftse 100 higher by 09%, xetra dax by more than 1% and ibex 35 more than half a percentage point. the bond markets, the question is whether or not we'll see a lid on on bond prices on treasuries especially if we manage to overt a fiscal cliff scenario, if we see productive talks continuing. right now we're seeing the yield
, so whether the u.s. down there or italy and spain here in the periphery, 4.7%, 6%, remarkable there, level for spain even today as the country's banks are being more fully examined in light of the national examination plans. the dollar/yen pulling back about half a percent to 8167. let's get to deirdre bolton from singapore. hi, deirdre. >> hi, kelly, how are you? and it's morris, by the way. but i'm flattered that you call me bolton. in china and hong kong, it was all about, what else, the fiscal cliff. those comments from the senate majority leader harry reid overnight really sparked some jitters in this session today, so we have red across the board. the shanghai composite, it is well and truly below that 2011 level, shedding another .9 of a percent. the hang seng was feeling some of that pressure from chinese stocks and shedding .6 of a percent. it was the mainland banks that were the culprit. they didn't fare as badly if the mainland. some capital requirement rules are going to be implemented that are raising concerns about loans and the ability of these major banks to give out
>>> welcome to worldwide exchange. here are your headlines. the final set of numbers on the u.s. jobs market before the election are out in just a few hours forecasts calling for another month of modest but not stellar payroll growth. >> dow, nasdaq post strongest session since mid september. >> the rising cost of sandy, one major risk modeling firm now says the economic losses from the storm could reach $50 billion. >> and china steps insecurity ahead of next week's com you uhe nis party congress. even model airplanes have been grounded. if you're just joining us, very good morning to you. this is where we stand. we are at the moment dow 24 points below fair value. let's show you where we is an with you're feuropean stocks. cac down half a percent, ftse 100 down 0.2%. let's show you some individual stocks in focus. losses on friday hurt by a sector wide slump. equipment maker cutting back spending down as you can see merely 7%. rbs coming out with results this morning. this is the uk bank with a government owned majority and part nationalized lending reporting an increase in th
>>> these are your headlines. >> a tough start to a new month for equities as all through u.s. indexes snap a four month winning streak in the first day of trade after the market shut down. >> campaigning resumes as the northeast assesses the damage from super storm sandy. good and big earnings day for oil giants giants. shell sees a fall and exxonmobile due to report before the opening bell. >> growth recovery may be near. official october pmi bouncing back into expansion territory. >>> we're under way just one hour and an awful lot to to get to. >> new york city still struggling to right itself after monday's super storm. one stap he have the big apple will return, the mta will resume partial subway service on 14 lines. la guardia airport will also reopen at 7:00 a.m. with limited service. amtrak says it will try to restore service to penn station come friday. >> homes in bay ahead are seriously damaged or destroyed. president obama got a firsthand look with governor chris christie yesterday afternoon. >> and danielle lee joins us, she's in the town of toms river. and we kn
soared on cyber monday. and all bets are off. prediction market entrade says it can no longer accept u.s. customers as market regulators say its trades aren't legal. shanghai composite closed below 2,000 for the first time in three years. it comes at a time when plenty have been talking up chinese growth prospects for next year. so we'll get into that more later. but 1991 is the closing level. this the main one to watch across asia. the nikkei did manage to continue it rally adding about 0.4% as the yen weakens on comments this morning. forex, the dollar-yen one to watch, 82.19 is the level there. the aussie dollar doing a little bit abouter despite that weak number on the shanghai composite. sterling is flat. we'll get into that more later. and euro-dollar just barely higher today, we did see it rallying over the 1.30 mark last night. as we look at crude rallying adding a third of a percent. brent about a quarter of a percent. copper, we're adding 0.2%. 354 bucks on that contract. the real foe you can as we continue to examine whether china's economy is fundamentally hanging in there, c
in the u.s. we'll head out to new york city later in the show for a preview of what to expect on wall street today. and more than 2,000 hand picked chinese delegates gathered at the great hall of the people to kick off the communist party week long transition. beijing will only officially reveal the next generation leaders thursday. hu jintao promised political and economic reform, but he stressed china won't abandon one party rule and will stick to the socialist path. eunice is live for us. this is his big final speech, so reading in sort of between the lines almost is very telling. it's the legacy he's trying to cath. and what less gassy is that? >> many here believe what he is saying is significant in that it is his final farewell. he really was just reading through the work report to talks about the achievements, the economic and political achievements that the party has had. and also to outline the future challenges. one of the first challenges you had already addressed is the issue of corruption. he said the government needed to do more to root it out. >> eunice, we're having tr
to see everybody. thanks for joining us. carol, what are you expecting in 2013 under president obama's policies? >> i'm not expecting anything very good, maria. i think that we're going to end up with some sort of a slow down. i think whatever the compromise that ends up being made under this grand bargain, it's going to be something that ends up hurting unemployment. that being said, i think there's always a tale of two markets. from a broader market standpoint, i expect the market to be hurting. there's always opportunities to be had. >> steve, you have some breaking news earlier. you reported on janet yellen. tell us what that says about where we're headed in terms of economic growth in 2013. >> well, i think it tells us the fed is going to remain as loose as it possibly can through '13, '14, '15, and now even '16. janet yellen saying an optimal policy path, one that stays as close to 2% on inflation and tries to get the unemployment rate down to 6% could mean the fed remains easy through early 2016. by the way, they're thinking of scrapping all of that calendar date guidance thro
here. the u.s. allegatielections and redskins lost. >> we will mention the redskins indicator, but it's true whether the u.s., china, greece, eurozone itself would make for a big week, but combine them all together, in fact it's no wonder that markets are a little unnerved. >> coming up today, plenty to get through. we're at singapore where hundyui shares are down. >> and here in london, uk pmi data will be out. the question whether it will follow an upward trend. >> and china preparing for the once in a decade political handover. we'll take a lower look at the new leadership. >> when the redskins win or lose, it has predicted the top winner since 1980. there has been a notable expossession of 1984. >> although gore did win the popular vote but not the electoral college. >> in 2000. >> that's right. >> the all-important football -- i should say american football indicator here. it points towards a romney victory. >> besides all that, plenty corporate news. hsbcs has set aside an additional $800 million in the third quarter to deal with the u.s. anti-money laundering probe. that brings
cut spending and we did, we cut $900 billion in spending that he can't like painful tos us. >> we'll continue our call to rise bol politics and make a deal. oufr guests this morning include mike jackson and also david zaslav. and the head of maris group. and douglas holtz-eakin. >> let's talk about eurozone finance ministers meeting to discuss whether to release a new tranche of fund to go greece. the leaders are not expected it to okay the funding despite greece approving a tough 2013 budget. we'll have more from ross westgate in london on all of that. japan's economy shrank, first contraction since last year. the data adding to signs of slowing global growth and tensions with china nudging the which i into recession. and yen minute's main oil export pipeline shut after it was blown up in two pieces. local news organizations didn't identify the attackers, but they've been repeatedly sabotaged. finally, iran launched a military drill across half of the country today. government warning it would act again against aggressors. >> where is your jacket? >> i decided in high spirit of r
. yes, volatility will be with us for a period of time. but we are very constructive when we look at next year on the whole. >> chris, where's the -- >> what are you seeing today? a fractional move now but it's been very much getting rid of winners and selling into any strength in this market ever since the election. >> well, i guess the question i have for chris, where is the volatility? i'm surprised. the vix has collapsed. it's a rare day when you see the vix down 9%. the stock market, dow is only up 18 points? >> this day has a big asterisk attached to it, don't you think? >> yes, but nonetheless when you saw the stuff over the week we understand a lot of people -- i was surprised how many people were arguing maybe it's not a bad thing to go over the fiscal cliff. i think it's a terrible idea. i'm surprised to see the vix down so much. we have options expiration coming up friday. people are taking off when the risk is rising. i find that a little odd. >> michael, your idea is it's not just about the fiscal cliff. apple is a big factor for this market as well, isn't it? >> no q
. concretely, we must identify the bottlenecks that prevent the vast resource of the euro area being used most fruitfully. the world bank's latest doing business report highlights greece as one of ten countries that have most improved the ease of doing business from a rather unfavorable level. the momentum is clearly going in the right direction, although much remains to be done. spain and portugal were among the countries that marie solving insolvent firms easier. crucial agreement for restructuring the economy in this transition period as resources must shift from unproductive to productive activities. it is the latter that create jobs. this reallocation process, though sometimes painful in the short run, i'll say always painful in the short run, carries the seed of future prosperity. a growing body of knowledge shows that by increasing the ability of the economy to adjust so that factors can be reallocated to the most competitive firms, aggregate labor productivity can increase substantially. some studies indicate a gain of as much as 20 force 30%. the current focus on competitiveness in fr
say the central bank likely to hold off until after the federal reserve is due to meet. joining us for more is global chief officer of global equities. and head of japanese research at jpmorgan securities. i suppose the question is whether this contraction here in the third quarter will be followed by another one in the fourth. >> it looks quite likely. you've got bad news on exports continuing and you've got on on top of that now a contraction in public spending beginning to come through. the boost we got after the weak construction from the disaster, that's now bapeaking out. so public demand and economic demand likely to drag us. >> and how much is domestic relying on government support? >> the domestic private side is actually doing really differencely okay. one data point here, you find that mortgage lending is actually growing now for six or seven consecutive months and that shows you that they're opening their purse spritrings little bit. but overall you're really looking at slight contraction in the economy. >> what extra pressure does this put on the government and the ban
.1 million barrels a day. impact of hurricane sandy in the u.s., reduced, as well. crude oil supply dipped to a nine month low. so the demand being cut, patrick armstrong is where us, managing partner at investment managers. but that's clearly because of global weakness -- well, economic weakness in europe and hurricane impact. >> definitely. year over year, oil demand is up. we've had very weak economy in europe. not much growth in the united states. but i think that's the trend we'll be playing out for the next few years. >> oil 110 at the moment. is that a fair price? >> there's premium built in because of geopolitical risks. i think premium is probably justifiable. you look at wti at $23 discount to where breptd is. that's not sustainable in the long time, but given inventory levels, that will stay. >> do you keep your trade on oil? >> we have neutral position, but we're short the front month. respe respect. we make money by rolling the contracts the other way around. we're long oil in the 12 months forward rolling in to the 13th month and we end up with little more oil with that strat
liquidity concerns in the market martin schultz is with us. thanks for joining us. is this a sign of things to come, a big standoff with japan? >> well, it's rather surprising that a hopeful government coming in is picking a fight with the bank of japan when they're starting off. what is happening here is that it seems that the ldp doesn't really have a growth strategy right now and the frustration in industry with the strong yen and slowdown in export is tremendous about that. >> big problems if we have unfettered money printing. would there be as he also says 30 years of deflation? >> well, one of the lessons we have here is that many different monetary policies didn't work so far. we still have an economy that is in restructuring mode with many corporations. so sony, sharp, still trying to get back on their feet. on the other hand, we also have an economy that is slinging simply by aging and what would be needed would be strong growth policies and this is what the bank of japan will be pushing when he's in office. on the other hand, deflation is there, printing more yen might be helping
steve jobs. you're probably already using something this quiet genius already invented. "the wall street journal report" begins right now. >> this is america's number-one financial news program. "the wall street journal report." now, maria bartiromo. >> here's a look what's making news as we head into a new week on wall street. corporate america had a strong message for president obama this week. ceos from more than a dozen of america's largest companies met with the president and warned that washington must reach a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. the president also sat down with congressional leaders and officially began negotiations. if congress doesn't act, taxes on income, capital gains, dividends and estates will all go up. and automatic spending cuts will kick in, beginning on january 1st. this week, i spoke with alan simpson and erskine bowles, authors of a deficit reduction plan about what needs to be done. >> you can't tax your way out of this. you can't cut spending your way out of this. you can't grow your way out of this. so grab hold, it's going to be a rocky, rocky road. >>
. u.s. equity futures should be interesting to look at temperature basically on hold. not sure what to do after yesterday. we'll talk more about the economy in a minute with david rosenburg. it was pretty clear yesterday that depending on how you wanted to spin it, could you say how do you do for another four years. i don't remember any euro news in the last six months no matter how bad it was, we didn't get it free handle. so there's more to it than just europe. >> it was the fiscal cliff, but also the financials got hit so hard. if it had been romney, the cliff would be less of a deal because they would stepped all of them. so now we know and we lettered it first hand yesterday. boehner said we're open to tax increase, but part of a bigger plan that involves spending cuts. dove did a bungee -- >> worst thing i ever did. >> but it goes down and then right back up. >> the worst part is you feel like you're connected on something, but don't. it's a free fall until the very he said and then he start to feel like i'm connected to something and it throws being back into the air. >> my q
because the underlying fundamentals in the u.s. economy are clearly improving, and you also have a stabilization or soft landing happening in china at the same time. >> david kelly, what do you want to be doing here? what's your strategy for the fiscal cliff? do you think we go over it, and what do you want to do? >> for a long-term investor, you don't try and play this one. i agree with stephanie about the market probably going higher once they get a resolution. they will get a resolution. it's possible it could go into early january. i still think they're more likely to get a resolution done before the end of the year. either way, they'll get a resolution done. when that happens, then we'll resort to looking at the u.s. economy, which is strengthening a bit here. also, the extreme and relative valuations between high-quality fixed income and equities will push money towards equities. i would not run for cover here because of the volatility. i think you just have to, you know, hold your ground through this and hope that the market moves higher next year. >> bob, this activity at
adp employment report. mark zandi will deliver the report to us first on cnbc. let's get over to andrew with more of today's top stories. >> joe, i think actually we're going to go and talk to mary thompson. as new jersey begins to recover, gas lines are growing. mary thompson is on the new jersey turnpike this morning. mary, good to see you. but there's been a lot of lines and a lot of people talking about this. >> reporter: yeah, very frustrating situation. take a look behind me, you can see the line at the vince lombardi station. and what you can't see is that it stretches down just about a half a mile to the entrance to this rest stop. our cameraman waited in line to get gasoline, he said it took him about 25 minutes. and brian sullivan drove past it yesterday and said the line was at least 200 cars deep. similar scenes like there are being played out all over new jersey as well as long island. residents driving across state lines to find gas, others expressing increasing frustration with the situation. >> impossible. can't get it. and we have no lights on, so i have to ge
no time on this issue today. fitch saying the u.s. needs to fix that debt threat and moody's says it's going to wait before taking any action and maintain its negative outlook on the u.s. economy. one thing is for sure. the stock market is taking the fiscal cliff very seriously. the blue chip average is off the lows but still down sharply at one time today, the dow was down about 369 points. first time we've seen that big of a decline since november 21st of last year. off the lows rights now, the dow down 260 points at 12,985. the nasdaq is down 63 points, a more than 2% decline at 2947. the s&p at this hour is down 28 points right at 1400. let's break down what's behind today's dramatic decline in stocks in today's "closing bell" exchange. we welcome back michael pento, kwint tatro, jeff sika, and our own rick santelli. quint, you believe the market was going to go down either way. why? >> i do. i think this was long overdue. we have been propped up with some incertauncertainty. it's kept the market saying, are we going to get a change? it didn't matter who won. we've been facing pr
in the u.s. yesterday. take a look at the bond wall here of course we have an italian auction coming up later and italy's ten year, below 4.5% this morning. so price rising. that yield falling. spain also benefiting. that yield down to 5.2%. bunds creeping back up to 1.4% level. let's key in on currency. the aussie dollar despite the broader risk-on attitude a weaker. dollar-yen moving higher 82.13. and the nikkei is adding to its string of gains throughout the month. euro-dollar rebounding off yesterday's trading session to add 0.1%. let's check in on how the asia trading session went overnight and for more, deidre wong morris joins us from singapore. >> well, it was a very good session over here, as well. headline driven. but a good session on the back of that optimism for fiscal cliff talk. all except this glaring spot of red. shanghai composite finishing lower for yet another session. it keeps falling further and further. doesn't seem that there is anything that policymakers or investors can do to lift sentiment in this market. different story in the hang seng, rebounding up about 1
wood, rick santelli, and michael jones. guys, good to see you. thanks so much for joining us. steven, what's your take on the markets right now and this storm? how does it impact the economy and the markets from here? >> i think it's modestly constructive. i think we're still in the middle of the square root shaped economic recovery we've been in for over three years now. a grinding upward trend within the data. i think you saw some of the positive news. i think the chinese numbers were a little stronger than many had figured. so the global economy may not be decelerating as quickly as many had feared, but certainly earnings are going to trump a lot of investors coming into the season. i think coming into the fourth quarter, earnings are going to be critical but revenue is going to be extremely critical in an economic environment that's grindsi grinding upward. >> kevin, what about you? i know you're growing increasingly pessimistic about the impact of the fiscal cliff. what else is becoming a drag in terms of uncertainty on in economy and the market? >> i think right now markets are
kate kelly will join us from new jersey in just a moment. also among our guests, john ike burger of the national association of convenience stores. his members sell 80% of all the gasoline in the united states. now making the cleanup and recovery even more difficult, we have forecasters warning that a harsh nor'easter is on the way. we'll have a live report from the weather chan nenel in 20 minutes. amid all the problems is tomorrow is election day. the candidates are making a final push in six swing states. the latest poll shows the race is in a dead heat. barely favoring the president in most cases. reuters is reporting similar margins in florida, virginia, colorado and ohio. >> governor romney has been having a tough time here in ohio because everybody knows he was against saving the auto industry. you don't scare people just to scare up some votes. >> i can't wait for us to get started. he's hoping we'll settle. americans don't settle. we build, we aspire, we dream, we listen to that voice that says we can do better. >> john harwood will join us with more. and then we'll focu
. >> that does it for us today. we'll see you tomorrow. right now it's time for "squawk on the street." >>> good morning. happy monday. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee live from the new york stock exchange. we're kicking off what could be a very busy week on wall street. the presidential election is tomorrow. look at how we are setting up. implied opens across the board to the downside s&p looking to lose 2.5 at the open. as to europe that's where action is. jitters about greece and the bailout plan sending markets there lower. italy down 1.4%. voters cast their ballots in the presidential election here. greece must win key support for measures necessary for a bailout and delegates meet in china to decide a major change in leadership. >> 3 million is the number of ipads and ipads minis sold this weekend sending stock higher premarket. the question is what's the breakdown and can this reverse the steady decline in shares since they hit the record high of more than 700. >> recovery from sandy continues. manhattan gets power back and most subway service is restored although milli
seen it. >> we're glad you came. >> join us tonight for a special edition of "squawk box." "squawk on the street" begins right now. ♪ >>> after all of the primaries, the ads, the debates, it all comes down to you voting today. good morning. happy election day. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm carl quintanilla with melis melissa, jim cramer, david faber. some green arrows on the dow. stocks haven't had a three-day winning streak since october 17 as they really do wonder what the end result is going to be after the polls close. as for europe, some pmi numbers coming out. a lot of the negative but some argue not deteriorating as quickly as they have been in recent months and quarters. road map this morning is a long trip from new hampshire to hawaii as americans vote today. markets awaiting the results. bear in mind, 30 million americans have already cast their ballots of early voting. how does that change today's dynamics? >> gm gets 11 billion $11 billi credit lines a sign it may buy back shares from the government. nissan and suzuki see big impact. >> tens of thousands of b
year. courtney reagan's been tracking the numbers and she will join us with the details. also veteran retail analyst dana telsey will join us with her take. and coming up at 6:40, com score gives us a forecast for cyber monday sales. we of course continue to watch the fiscal cliff count down. lawmakers have been trying to convince the naub they are willing to compromise. they return to capitol hill today. >> everything should be on the table. >> bring entitlement reform into the conversation. >> a group of corporate executives are calling on congress to rise above partisan politics to try to find some sort of a solution. we have a lot to talk about with gleg brown and we'll start that in just a moment, but first over to andrew. >>> finance ministers are trying to unfreeze the second bailout package for greece, but first they must agree on how to cut massive debt to a more sustainable level. we'll head to london for details on that. and playing down a deal talk, tom joyce saying his country's currently if talks with at least two firms on a possible sale of its largest business unit. bu
that the election is behind us, we now focus on the fate of the fiscal cliff. mike gibbs of raymond james says we get a compromise and this is the time to buy into weakness. nathan backrack of the financial network group is not as convinced. they are here along with david cass of matrixes a s es s ass and meg. gentlemen, lady, good to have you on the program. thank you so much. nathan, i kick it off with you. if we are heavy in stocks and depending on congress, you better buckle up. tell us why. >> well, because we're going to be all over the place right now. when i hear speaker boehner, who's just about 20 miles north of me, start to say all the things that are going to happen, it reminds me of my first sales manager who says, great, i'll wait to see it before i'm going believe it. right now, wall street has given a very clear message to president obama, which s oh, you think you know business, watch this. so now you're going to learn and you're going to learn real fast. a correspondence course is not going to help. we're going to be all over the place. my sense is until we get through with gr
advisers austan goolsbee on how the u.s. can avoid falling off the fiscal cliff. plus we'll take you live to tokyo with japan hit by election fever. the yen is falling as a repeated call for bold monetary easing. and we'll be live in new york 5:45 a.m. for a look at the u.s. retail sector. walmart and target getting set to release third quarter numbers. >>> chig that's ruling com uhe nus party has lifted the curtain. the unveiling seals so s xi jins rise. hu has seeded oig all powers and that's gives china's next leader a strong mandate. eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander. that is very significant because it allows him to have more control over his own agenda. when he went to meet the press this morning, he was looking very casual, looking a about folksy. when he was youtd lining t
you both. we'll have you both back very soon. that does it for us today. make sure to join us tomorrow. right now it's time for "squawk on the street." >> whether i earned your vote or not, i have listened to you. i have learned from you. you have made me a better president. with your stories and your struggles, i return to the white house more determined and more inspired than ever about the work there is to do and the future that lies ahead. >> president obama wins a second term in the white house but of course now the hard part begins. can he and congress agree on how to avoid the fiscal cliff just 54 days from now? good morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm carl quintanilla with melissa lee, jim cramer, david faber. as you can see once again, down triple digits. a lot of news out of europe today as attention turns to greece and parliamentary vote there regarding austerity measures later on. democrats gaining seats in the senate. republicans maintaining control of the house. >> the issues that were a tossup are now certainties. we'll get cramer's take on how to align your
story. that moves us close to stalemate and recession. that's right. still not much talk about spending cuts. so tonight we have budget cutting hawk jeff flake, the senator-elect from arizona. then there's this -- >> watch out. they're stealing the hostess twinkies. >> watch this. here's your reward. >> thanks! >> the question is, will the union succeed in stealing the twinkies forever? the ceo of hostess speaks out and speaks to us about this subject. >>> first up, breaking news out of the middle east. at this hour, israel giving the green light to call up 30,000 reserve troops and is moving forces toward the gaza strip. this is war. this after tel aviv came under rocket fire attack for the first time in 20 years today. and where is president obama on all of this? let's get right to our special guest this evening. we have former assistant secretary of state rich williamson and syndicated radio talk show host john boutzer. how much injury they inflict on hamas? i want to know if the total blowout is possible? >> yes, it is, larry. why that is critical is because egypt is involved profou
forces claiming to have targeted 100 gaza sites. the u.s. secretary of state hillary clinton is on her way to the middle east for talks with officials in a bid to try to end the deadly crisis. we've been watching oil prices, as well. and after sharp gains yesterday, you can see oil prices pulling back about 27 cents, still just about $89 for wti crude. we will have a live report from our nbc colleagues on the ground in the middle east coming up in the next half hour. >>> let's talk about some of the main market events of the morning. actually today fed chairman ben bernanke's speech at the economics sclub of new york is coming up at 12:15 eastern time. traders will be listening no any comments on the central bank's operation twist program and discussions about changing how the fed communicates about interest rates. operation twist expires next month. and there is some speculation the fed will continue making asset purchases by expanding the size of its $40 billion a month quantitate of it easing program. also on the economic agenda today, october housing starts released at 8:30 a.m. an
today. also, the ceo of mellon will be joining us to talk about the markets. as we've been talking about, the biggest issue for the markets right now seems to be the uncertainty surrounding the fiscal cliff. yesterday business leaders urged president obama and lawmakers to prevent a year end across board tax rise that will go into act unless congress acts. >> he understands it requires a combination of tax increases and title refor and discretionary spending cuts that dnl democrats and republicans have to work together. i'm is sure there will be a lot of forth and back between republicans and democrats, the congress and the president as they start to work their way to a deal. but i'd say there's strong recognition of the significant of getting a deal for the ben fft t benefit of the american public. >> this is all about trying to make american business more competitive, trying to have a fair balanced approach to tax refo reform. the president was clear he wants a balanced approach and we were clear we are behind him. >> top the president and top member of congress will be meeting. cnbc i
the stage for a possible comeback. >>> and president obama meets with top u.s. lawmakers to begin budget talks as the fiscal cliff looms. both sides are digging in their heels on on tax hikes and spending hikes. against all of the political changes we're seeing today, first i want to show you the market action. stoxx 600 is sitting roughly flat, but we've seen interesting trading session where the nikkei really surging to the up side again today. more on that in a bit. take a look at what's happening across europe because after a couple of uglier days in the market, we're seeing something of a comeback now led by technology, retail stocks are also in the green, food and beverages, autos among the sectors dragging on the in-dek. we can take a closer look at the bourses. ibex is down. ftse 100 sam thing, so we'll keep an eye on all these levels as the show progresses this morning. the bond space is where we've been focusing our attention with spain and greece on. spain today seeing prices rise, yields coming down to 5.78%. italy seeing a bit of a rally, too. selloff for britain and bund oi
the central bank says it has to do more to show it's serious about stimulating growth. and in the u.s., consumers filled up their shopping carts. early estimates show sales up 13% over the lost holiday weekend. >>> welcome to the start of a fresh trading week. kelly will be back tomorrow. catalonia voters have handed the majority to the separatists, but not necessarily the ones you thought. we'll assess the impact. and investors worry among protests over the egyptian president's attempt to increase his power base. and how much would it cost you to buy all items in the song 12 days of christmas? pnc wealth management will tell us why it's a lot more than you might think. plus shoppers hitting the net today, the year's biggest day for online purchases. we'll asset how much cash shoppers have left over after black friday's billion dollar be in an sa. bonanza. we have some confident data out of italy. november consumer confidence 84.8. that is a record low. we've had protests, as well. they're gathering in brussels to try to hammer out a deal on the greek deficit. prime minister says they
? killer of killer capital is back with us. jeff, have you a very interesting take on this. most people would like to dive into it right now but that may not be what you should be doing. >> that's not the pure angle i'm taking. it is kind of a powerball fool's gold feel. people are rushing in because these companies are coming out with special dividends. watch that "x" date. the stock should drop the special amount of that dividend but i don't think the proper route. people dove in to hewlett-packard. will hurt people in the long run. is there what about the tax structure for the new year and these companies. increasing dividends by in some cases record amounts. >> this year we're seeing more an more people are putting allocation to a dividend stock. you have to be very careful. some people are getting in because of the dividend and not paying attention to volatility. a couple stocks i really like this year, moving into 2013, mostly due to the housing turnout. wells fargo, yielding 2.6%. much better than the 10-year. finally, duke energy, a nice energy company, putting up a nice yield b
thursday, and figures were mixed thursday. the possibility of a u.s. downgrade if america goes over the so-called fiscal cliff. but said it would wait until after budget negotiations. a downgrade, of course, would make it more expensive for the united states to borrow money. >>> superstorm sandy could provide an economic boost to the auto industry. as many as 250,000 new and used cars may have been ruined by sandy. a loss that could eventually lead to a spike in auto sales. >>> overall consumer borrowing expanded in the month of september, but at a slower pace than the previous month. a sign buyers may be pulling back on their credit card purchases. this is an important data point, because consumers and consumer spending make up more than two-thirds of the u.s. economy. >>> what will a second term for president obama mean to the economy? will we see compromise? or will we fall over the fiscal cliff? joining me now, two former top presidential advisers. laura tiesson, chair of economic advisers for clinton and marty feld stein under president reagan. thanks so much for spending the time tod
hd hasn't rolled out in turkey and russia. it's a big hedge for us. >> thank you for being here. >> appreciate it very much. join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good monday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, david faber and jim cramer. we kick off the week better than we had seen last week. looking at a higher open across the board after the worse weekly losses with both indices closing below the 200-day moving average on friday. looking at the action over in europe, we are seeing small gains across the board. our road map starts on capitol hill where congress returns to work tomorrow as leaders prepare to meet with the president this week on the fiscal cliff. lawmakers over the weekend sound optimistic that a deal will be reached. how likely is that? >> jeffries gets bought in a $3.7 billion deal. leucadia is described as a mini berkshire hathaway. >> a war to see who will open earliest on black friday or on thanksgiving itself as it turns out. >> first up, after coming off the worst week for the markets
up, middle east escalating in violence. it really feels like a lot of things getting us down. scott was just pulling out some of the things that are positive, like valuations being reasonable. there's plenty of easy money. if there's good news, we have to try and find it. let's hope earnings provide good news going forward. >> well, we could try to find it, but is that going to dictate the market? >> yeah, well, that's a really good question. i think obviously a lot of companies are struggling right now, especially if the company is also struggling. i think there's so much to con tepid with out there. maybe that's a question for some of the other guests as to whether or not we're going get decent earnings going and whether or not that lifts the market out of its slump. >> do you think we see a rebound in earn in the fourth quarter? what are you expecting in terms of that fundamental driver of the markets? that is corporate profits and revenue. >> the last three years you've really seen summer swoons. slow down in economic growth. you have housing bottoming and starting to move up. t
'm tyler mathisen. sue herera is back with us. she's at the new york stock exchange. >>> we will get to the markets in just a few moments but first, the weather channel's on the next storm that is about to hit the northeast. i just hope we don't need for the recovery area along the east coast right now but we are looking at a full blown nor'easter in the wednesday to thursday time frame. let me show you one of our computer models here to outline just what's going to happen. talking about a low pressure system developing along the southeast coast here that's going to intensify as it moves northward. by wednesday morning rain and wind in to the new jersey and new york area. then, unfortunately, as we get into wednesday evening, this storm intensifies to a point that we're going to see greater than 50-mile-an-hour wind gusts into the new york city area right along the jersey coast. this green area here, a lot of rain as well. rain, wind, temperatures in the 40s. just really rough for those who are still going through the recovery. as we move ahead in time from wednesday night into thurs
adviser to george w. bush. thank you for joining us. >> nice to be with you. >> great to see you both. let's start with the jobs numbers on friday. the last jobs report before the election. what do they tell us about america's economy today and what impact do you expect it to have on the election. austan? >> i don't think it will have much impact on the election because it's not that much different from the overall trend over the last year to 18 months. i think it was a fairly solid number but certainly better than what was expected and you got revisions on the jobs number itself. but overall, growth has been relatively modest in the u.s. and that's reflected in the jobs number. so this is an encouraging month but you never want to make too much out of any one month. >> i was surprised at the numbers. ed, what do you think? >> i think there are good things that each candidate can take out of it. obviously the fact that the unemployment rate ticked up is something that governor romney will emphasize, it's higher than when the president took office. that's the headline number. but i agree wi
management, and our own rick santelli. gentlemen, nice to have you on the program. thanks for joining us. >> thank you. >> how do you navigate this, peter anderson? you have a market that keeps losing steam. you have uncertainty knowing we're not going to know tax rates. certainly until we get information on the fiscal cliff. we're waiting on that. once again, we find ourselves in a holding period. what do you do? >> well, you know, i think that quality is just totally masked right now by volatility. as we get closer to january, it's a beautiful thing. what we will start seeing is convergence of some of the facts in terms of what the solutions will -- the proposed solutions will be, maria. right now i think everybody's just in a holding period. but that -- it takes a lot of courage to do this, but we're telling our clients to stay fully invested at this point because we think this is just a short-term volatility. i know it's very, very difficult emotionally to navigate right during this week. i think come january we will get a clearer picture. >> well, we better, right? otherwise we go o
us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >> markets waking up to the first full day of business after yesterday's holiday and the news flows back in full swing. good morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm carl quintanilla along with melissa lee, jim cramer, david faber live at the new york stock exchange. futures in the red on cautious commentary from some retailers. management shake-up at microsoft and weak german business sentiment and this prolonged spat between the eu and imf over how to reduce greek debt. a beat and raise for the quarter for home depot. >> the man in charge of whippedos eat leaves microsoft just weeks after the product launches. >> jcpenney hits new lows. investors have to recognize that jcp is really two companies. we'll hear what he told becky, andrew and joe. >> lockup of all facebook shares tomorrow. >> first up, shares of home depot rising in free market pchlt home improvement retailer earned 75% a share in the quarter. that beat estimates. home depot raising full-year guidance citing signs of recovery in if the housing market. jim
on the show as soon as earnings come out. that will be at the top of the next hour. and nyse ceo with us giving us an update two weeks after sandy historically closed sandy for two days. >> still a miracle they got things open when they did. we're oall following the latest in the general petraeus scandal. unbelievable twists, even today. we have a roreport from washington. then, more on how this story is shedding light on how anything you write can be accessed. pretty scary stuff and something to think about. >> really. in the markets right now, fractional gains right now. the dow jones industrial average off the best levels of the afternoon, but still showing a gain of about 17 points. looks like investors wait and see until we get some solutions on the fiscal cliff. nasdaq is negative by a fraction. down about four points. off of the worst levels, by the way. s&p 500 is up about 3 3/4 points at 1383. >> in today's "closing bell" exchange, we have carol roth, bruce mccain, and our own rick santel santelli. rick, i'm going to start with you today because we see that stutter step opening
markets closing at 1:00 p.m. eastern on friday. take a look at the u.s. equity futures. the dow is down by about 3 points. the s&p 500 is off by four. the nasdaq down by about 12. because of tomorrow's holiday, you do have the labor department coming out, releasing its weekly jobless claims numbers today. we get them a day early instead of a day late. also today we'll be getting weekly mortgage rates. and freddie mac will report on the weekly mortgage rate averages as well. >> let's talk about the top global market story this morning. it is greece's international lenders, which did not reach a deal, and now they won't be releasing that next bailout payment. nearly 12 hours of talks failed to reach a consensus. the imf and the central bank all going to gather again on monday to try again, but this is not necessarily good news at all. hostess brands will proceed with a plan to go out of business. the maker of twinkies says last-minute talks with the striking workers broke down yesterday, hearing with a bankruptcy judge set for 11:00 eastern time. then we have another string of bad news. >
and a capital gains tax hike. superstar investor ken hebner tells us how to get through this period. >>> also, american drone and international airspace days before the election and kept secret until now. is that a coincidence? >>> and on election day, voters in two states allowed recreational use of marijuana. is this the gateway to liberals legalizing rampant drug use in this country? janine turner is going to join us. >>> within the hour, word that president obama will make a statement on the fiscal cliff and the economy at 1:00 p.m. tomorrow. the congressional budget office issued a new scenario of what happens if the president and congress fail to act. eamon javers joins us now with the details. good evening, eamon. >> reporter: good evening, larry. as you say, we're getting news tonight we're going to get dueling appearances tomorrow between speaker john boehner and president barack obama. the speaker will address a crowd of reporters at 11:00 in the morning. he will take questions from the press. we're told obama will speak at 1:00 in the east room of the white house and will not take
hands? let's get to our panel, david dahl, mark travis, and robert zagunis will join us in a moment. good to have you on the program. david, let me begin with you. how are you invested right now amidst all of these issues pertaining to the fiscal cliff, higher tax rates in 2013, et cetera? >> always good to be back with you. we've been defensive. we've looked for opportunities to take gains over the course of the year. thankfully we've been very u.s.-centric in our investments over the course of 2011-2012. what we're preparing for now is looking again at the foreign markets in 2013. >> foreign markets meaning you want to be allocating money outside of the u.s. because of these issues in the u.s.? >> well, taking a look at some of the large global players here in the u.s. and outside, because as tax rates go up here in the united states, what we're about to see is probably the laugher curve in reverse. tax rates going up, revenues declining, creating a headwind for gdp. we're look at companies in the world for looking for global growth opportunity outside our borders. >> mark, let me
closely. as bob showed us, the markets are moving on every bit of news. will there be a compromise to talk about that on capitol hill, senator john hovan, the former gove govern. we just talked about how markets, investsers and public are watching everything you guys are saying here. probably watching what you're saying right now. are you aware how closely they're watching and how sensitively they're acting and reacting? >> i think so. look, we need to get a bill deal. it is very important that we avert fiscal cliff and do it by not only getting pro-growth tax reform but entitlement reform and better spending control and get the kind of deal in the $4 trillion range that's going to provide certainty and get our economy going. because ultimately we need to get people back to work and it is that growing economy that's going to create the revenue that gets us out of the deficit. >> a $4 trillion deal would be your goal. i want to focus on maybe something that hasn't been talked about as much, and that's entitlement reform. and the big one here would be medicaid and especially medicare. if you
bell exchange," todd is with us, so is bill, and steve liesman and pisani with us as well. it's expected this market is going to stand and wait to see what the election results are going to be like for tomorrow, right? >> hey, it's human nature. i mean, people have been paralyzed with all these horror stories about fiscal cliffs and the end of the dollar and the end of america. so, when in doubt, do nothing. hide your cash, sit on the sidelines. but i think there's going to be a big plunger effect that could really unleash tidal waves of money as people start to see maybe there's some wonderful surprises, some electoral surprises that just aren't popular right now. >> what are you suggesting? >> i don't know. this nose does more than hold this mustache and glasses and i think it might be a electoral surprise for mr. romney. if that's the case -- >> you think romney wins -- >> i do. >> -- that will be a surprise and this market rallies on that win? >> i think the market rallies big. there will be a lot of money in motion. people will be moving on with decision-making. there's t
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